Arsox - Burning Spoils

TD01: Dawn of Palpagos Red•Blue · ETD01-005 · TD

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Arsox - Burning Spoils

TD01: Dawn of Palpagos Red•Blue · ETD01-005 · TD

Fair value · Normal · Near Mint

$0.30BGood

likely $0.23 – $0.40

−40%

past 30 days

Liquidity: Steadysells about every 5 days · last 10 days ago
Sold, 30 days: 3
Lowest listing: $0.20
Market Price: $0.26

Outlook · 30d

Storm watch

Fair value is dropping hard over the last few weeks.

Storm watchSteadyHeating up

7d: −69%
30d: −40%
90d: —

Every Normal sale we've read, grouped by when and for how much they sold, with the fair value line through them. Hover a bubble for its sales; the legend adds the other conditions.

Forecast

Fair value · NM: $0.30
Change · 30d: +74%
Sales counted: 3
Most NM sold for: $1.45 – $1.73

Forecast · NM · 30 days

$0.27−10%

fair value $0.21 – $0.35 · sales likely $0.18 – $0.39

Heading down21% odds higher

Buying pace: ~3/wkselling slower
Sales read: 36over 40 days

$0.27

Each bubble groups sales that sold close together in time and price, sized by how many; hover one for its sales. Solid counts toward fair value, hollow was left out. The line is fair value over time, from sales only, ending at today's. The strip underneath counts sales. Past today, the dashed line is the forecast: where fair value is heading from what sold and how fast it's selling. The shaded fan is how far fair value may move, 4 times in 5; it widens the further out it looks. The forecast never changes fair value. Price axis is logarithmic.

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