Forecast

Priced by Forecast

What's the Forecast?

Stop asking “what's the market?” and “what are the solds?”. One card, one printing, one condition, one number, from what actually sold, with a grade that says how sure we are.

See every service scoredOpen this card
No image

Forecast

$457.85

grade B · 307 sales

TCGplayer Market

$375.69

5 sales · one is $46.01

Collectr

$375.69

same number, copied

Same card, same afternoon

Three services. Two of them are one number.

Charizard G LV.X DP45, read October 21, 2026. Collectr's price is TCGplayer's Near Mint Market Price to the cent; TCGplayer's is five sales, one of them a $46 damaged copy tagged Near Mint.

How the hobby prices a card

TCGplayer

one site's sales

CollectrDex TCGpokemontcg.ioTCGdexScryfallManaBoxBinderPOSCard Castle

Same number, different logos. Every weakness in the one travels to all of them.

How Forecast prices a card

Several marketplacesCard-shop countersCard showsKiosks and web stores

Forecast

sales only · every condition

Every sale verified, every condition its own market, a grade on every price. One fake sale on one site moves nothing.

More cards, same story

Where the market has nothing, we still have a number.

Each card as the three services priced it the same day. Hover the picture.

Forecast

$439.81

grade C · 38 sales · last 26 days ago

TCGplayer Market

—

no Market Price · last sale $225 · 0 sold in 3 months

Collectr

$250.00

0.00% change · frozen

EX Legend Maker · 5/92 · Reverse Holofoil

Gengar

0

TCGplayer sales in 3 months

$1,500

cheapest copy listed

38

sales behind the Forecast value

A card that trades a few times a year. The marketplace has no Near Mint number for it, the last sale it shows is $225 from months back, and the cheapest copy is $1,500. Collectr copies the stale number and freezes. Forecast prices it from every condition that did sell and says plainly that the evidence is thin: grade C, with the range to match.

Open the card page →
No image

Forecast

$457.85

grade B · 307 sales · last 2 days ago

TCGplayer Market

$375.69

5 sales · one is $46.01

Collectr

$375.69

same number, copied

Diamond and Pearl Promos · DP45 · Holofoil

Charizard G LV.X

$46.01

the “Near Mint” sale inside TCGplayer's average

42%

TCGplayer's LP price sits under its own last LP sale

3×

Collectr's damaged price vs what damaged copies sell for

A card with plenty of played copies and almost no Near Mint ones. Five Near Mint sales in three months, one of them a damaged card, make the marketplace number. Collectr takes that number and a flat percentage. Forecast prices each condition from its own sales.

Open the card page →

The scorecard

Six tests. Every price service in the hobby.

Hover a mark for the reason; every one links back to the service's own page in the sources below.

ServicePriced from sales, not listingsEvery condition from its own salesThin cards stay currentOne fake sale can't move itSays how sure it isEvery game, sealed too
Forecast✓✓✓✓✓✓
TCGplayer Market Price✓◐✕✕◐◐
Collectr✕✕✕✕✕◐
eBay sold listings◐✕✕✕✕◐
PriceCharting✓✕✕◐✕◐
Card Ladder✓◐◐◐✕✕
JustTCG API◐◐✕◐✕◐
PokemonPriceTracker✓◐✕◐✕✕
Dex, pokemontcg.io, TCGdex✕✕✕✕✕✕
ManaBox, Dragon Shield, Delver✕✕✕✕✕✕
BinderPOS, ShadowPOS✕◐✕✕✕◐
Scryfall✕✕✕✕✕✕
✓ yes◐ partly✕ no

Condition by condition

Where the flat percentage falls apart.

Collectr takes −15 / −25 / −40 / −60% off its one number. On DP45 that puts a damaged copy at $150.28; damaged copies actually sell for about $47.81.

TCGplayer Market Price Collectr, implied Forecast
$0$100$200$300$400$500376376458NM188319336LPnot read282145MPnot read22569HP5115048DMG

Forecast: grade B, 307 condition-tagged sales. TCGplayer MP and HP not read.

“Just check the solds”

What a sold list hides.

Four rows the way a raw sold list shows them, and what each one really was. Illustrative rows; the problems are documented in the sources.

Charizard G LV.X DP45 NM

Best Offer accepted

$59.00

Sold for $44. The list shows the ask with a line through it.

Charizard G Lv.X DP45 Near Mint!

“Near Mint”

$321.30

Photos show edge whitening. It's a Lightly Played sale filed under Near Mint.

Charizard G LV.X Promo DP45

Sold · refunded

$375.00

Returned a week later. Still in the sold list, still in the average.

DP45 Charizard G LVX

Auction

$500.97

Two accounts bid it up. The site removed 71,000 of one seller's listings for this in 2021.

Forecast reads the accepted price, checks the stated condition against what that condition trades at, carries refunds, and weighs several marketplaces against sales recorded in person. Solds are evidence. The Forecast is the price.

Measured, not claimed

Seven in ten values land within 20% of the next real sale.

We hide one sale in five, price every card without it, then check how close the value landed. No other service on this page publishes a number like this.

69%within 20%

Seven in ten values land within 20% of the next real sale.

The typical value lands within 12% of a sale it never saw.

341,031 SKUs · 20% of sales hidden

How close each grade lands

Awithin 8%Bwithin 10%Cwithin 13%

An A lands closer than a B, a B closer than a C. Nobody else prints a grade.

How close each game lands

Disney Lorcanawithin 5%One Piece Card Gamewithin 5%Riftboundwithin 6%Magic: The Gatheringwithin 9%Gundam Card Gamewithin 10%Yu-Gi-Oh!within 12%Pokémonwithin 19%

Typical distance to the next real sale. Every game gets the same test, and every value a grade that says how close it expects to land.

Four questions

Short answers. The card pages show the rest.

From its last sales, moved by how comparable cards (same era, set, character and price range) traded over the same period, with a wider range and a lower grade to say so.

Sources