Forecast

Alphonse Elric (004)

UE09BT: FULLMETAL ALCHEMIST · UE09BT/FMA-1-004 · Super Rare

Alphonse Elric (004), Foil
TCGplayer

Fair value · Foil · Near Mint

$2.00BGood

likely $1.54 – $2.60

−54%

past 90 days

Liquidity
Very liquidsells about once a day · last yesterday
Sold, 30 days
12
Lowest listing
$1.35
Market Price
$2.36

Outlook · 90d

Storm watch

Fair value is dropping hard over the last few weeks.

Storm watchSteadyHeating up
7d
−38%
30d
−36%
90d
−54%

Change to today's $2.00
From sales only · 12 sold, 30d

Every Foil sale we've read, grouped by when and for how much they sold, with the fair value line through them. Hover a bubble for its sales; the legend adds the other conditions.

Forecast
Fair value · NM
$2.00
Change · 90d
−25%
Sales counted
12~2/wk
Most NM sold for
$2.92 – $3.84

Forecast · NM · 30 days

$1.99−0.7%

fair value $1.58 – $2.51sales likely $1.42 – $2.78

Holding48% odds higher
Buying pace
~1/wkselling slower
Sales read
109over 118 days
Last check
3.3% away14-day call
$2.00$4.00Aug 15Sep 14Oct 14Nov 13Today5sold$1.99

Each bubble groups sales that sold close together in time and price, sized by how many; hover one for its sales. Solid counts toward fair value, hollow was left out. The line is fair value over time, from sales only, ending at today's. The strip underneath counts sales. Past today, the dashed line is the forecast: where fair value is heading from what sold and how fast it's selling. The shaded fan is how far fair value may move, 4 times in 5; it widens the further out it looks. The forecast never changes fair value.

All printings of Alphonse Elric 12

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