Forecast

Smaug the Magnificent (Showcase) (Surge Foil)

The Hobbit · 265 · M

In a chase tier of The Hobbit#3 in the set · ×95 its regular hits
CTier CStandard · 7% of top decks
Smaug the Magnificent (Showcase) (Surge Foil), Foil
TCGplayer

Fair value · Foil · Near Mint

$182.30BGood

likely $143.45 – $231.68

−18%

past 30 days

Liquidity
Very liquidsells about 2 a day · last today
Sold, 30 days
27
Lowest listing
$156.99
Market Price
$167.14

Outlook · 30d

Cooling off

Fair value is drifting down across recent sales.

Storm watchSteadyHeating up
7d
+6.3%
30d
−18%
90d
—

Change to today's $182.30
From sales only · 27 sold, 30d

Pull odds

Open a pack
  • FoilM (surge foil Dragon hoard card) · The Hobbit - Collector Booster Pack1 in 333 packs0.30%

Every Foil sale we've read, grouped by when and for how much they sold, with the fair value line through them. Hover a bubble for its sales; the legend adds the other conditions.

Forecast
Fair value · NM
$182.30
Change · 30d
−24%
Sales counted
27~4/wk
Most NM sold for
$153 – $180

Forecast · NM · 30 days

$166.00−8.9%

fair value $132.83 – $207.46sales likely $121 – $228

Heading down18% odds higher
Buying pace
~3/dayselling faster
Sales read
212over 83 days
Last check
16.2% away14-day call
$50$100$200Oct 6Oct 21Nov 5Nov 20Today131313sold$166

Each bubble groups sales that sold close together in time and price, sized by how many; hover one for its sales. Solid counts toward fair value, hollow was left out. The line is fair value over time, from sales only, ending at today's. The strip underneath counts sales. Past today, the dashed line is the forecast: where fair value is heading from what sold and how fast it's selling. The shaded fan is how far fair value may move, 4 times in 5; it widens the further out it looks. The forecast never changes fair value. Price axis is logarithmic.

All printings of Smaug the Magnificent 4

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