Forecast

Smaug, the Great Calamity

The Hobbit · 109 · C

Smaug, the Great Calamity, Foil

Fair value · Lightly Played · Foil

$0.12

−80%30d

BGood confidencelikely $0.09 – $0.15

  • Fair value
  • Lowest ask $0.07
  • Last sale $1.51
Lowest ask
$0.07
Last sale
$1.5113 days ago
Sold, 30 days
3Steady
Market Price
—

Worked out from sales

TCGplayer

Your copies

Checking your collections…

01

Price history

Every Foil sale we've read, grouped by when and for how much they sold, with the fair value line through them. Hover a day or week for what sold; the legend adds the other conditions. Past today is the forecast.

Fair value · LP
$0.12
Change · 30d
+132%
Sales counted
3~1/wk
Most LP sold for
$1.54 – $2.00

The line is fair value over time, from sales only, ending at today's. Bubbles group sales that sold close together, sized by how many: solid ones count toward fair value, hollow ones were left out. The strip along the bottom counts sales.

02

Every condition

What a Foil copy is worth in each condition, from its own sales. Pick a row to switch the page to it.

03

Sales

How each Foil lightly played copy sold, price and shipping, newest first. Times are US Central.

  • Oct 19

    11:17 PM

    Online · Buy it now

    $1.51

    incl. $1.49 ship

  • Oct 18

    9:07 PM

    Online · Buy it now

    $1.59

    incl. $1.49 ship

  • Oct 17

    7:52 PM

    Online · Buy it now

    $2.27

    incl. $2.25 ship

04

Liquidity

How easily this copy turns into cash: how often it sells, how recently, and how many are waiting to.

Steadyliquidity

Sells about every 5 days · last sold 13 days ago

Sales a week
1.3
Between sales
5d
about every 5 days
Last sold
13 days ago
Sold, 30 days
3
Typical sale, 30 days
$1.79
trimmed average of counted sales
Listed now
111
about 85 weeks of sales

05

Outlook

Where fair value has been heading, read in Forecast's outlook words. Forecast Pro adds where it goes next, and why.

Outlook · 30d

Storm watch

Fair value is dropping hard over the last few weeks.

Storm watchSteadyHeating up
7d
−85%
30d
−80%
90d
—

Change to today's $0.12
From sales only · 3 sold, 30d

Forecast Pro

See where this card goes next — and why.

  • The expected move over the next 30 days, with its likely range
  • This card's forecast drawn out of its price history
  • The reasons behind the call, and the catalysts on the calendar
  • How the last forecast for this card turned out

06

Play

Where the card is legal, and how much competitive play it sees.

Formats

  • StandardLegal
  • PioneerLegal
  • ModernLegal
  • LegacyLegal
  • VintageLegal
  • PauperLegal
  • CommanderLegal

For every printing of this card, from Scryfall.

Competitive play

Share of top-placing tournament decks that play this card (every printing counts), last 90 days. Bigger events, better finishes and newer decks count more. Constructed: MTGO and Melee results via the MTGO Decklist Cache. cEDH: EDHTop16 with data from TopDeck.gg. Commander: EDHREC. See the meta

FormatTierDecksCopiesTop 8sTrend
PauperFSeen, but rarely (under 0.5%)0.1%(17)1.76−0.2%

07

Details

Game
Magic: The Gathering
Set
The Hobbit (HOB)
Number
109
Rarity
C
Type
Single
Released
Aug 14, 2026
P
5
T
5
SubType
Legendary Creature — Dragon
FlavorText
"My armor is like tenfold shields, my teeth are swords, my wings a hurricane, and my breath death!"
OracleText
Flying Spew Flame 4R Sorcery — Adventure Spew Flame deals 5 damage to target creature. (Then exile this card. You may cast the creature later from exile.)

Pull odds

Open a pack
  • FoilC · The Hobbit - Collector Booster Pack1 in 14 packs7.24%
  • FoilTraditional foil card: C · The Hobbit - Play Booster Pack1 in 100 packs1.00%
  • NormalCommon cards: C · The Hobbit - Play Booster Pack1 in 9 packs11.4%