Forecast

Bilbo, Thief in the Night (Showcase)

The Hobbit · 219 · M

The Foil printing is in a chase tier of The Hobbit#49 in the set · ×7.7 its regular hits
ATier AVintage · 24% of top decksBilbo×1.0 · #218
Bilbo, Thief in the Night (Showcase), Normal
TCGplayer

Fair value · Normal · Near Mint

$7.43AStrong

likely $6.05 – $9.14

−82%

past 90 days

Liquidity
Very liquidsells about 5 a day · last today
Sold, 30 days
44
Lowest listing
$7.16
Market Price
$7.45

Outlook · 90d

Storm watch

Fair value is dropping hard over the last few weeks.

Storm watchSteadyHeating up
7d
−9.5%
30d
−35%
90d
−82%

Change to today's $7.43
From sales only · 44 sold, 30d

Pull odds

Open a pack
  • NormalM (Dragon hoard card) · The Hobbit - Collector Booster Pack1 in 89 packs1.12%
  • FoilM (traditional foil Dragon hoard card) · The Hobbit - Collector Booster Pack1 in 163 packs0.61%

Every Normal sale we've read, grouped by when and for how much they sold, with the fair value line through them. Hover a bubble for its sales; the legend adds the other conditions.

Forecast
Fair value · NM
$7.43
Change · 90d
−80%
Sales counted
44~7/wk
Most NM sold for
$7.14 – $8.62

Forecast · NM · 30 days

$7.02−5.5%

fair value $5.62 – $8.77sales likely $5.13 – $9.61

Heading down29% odds higher
Buying pace
~6/dayselling slower
Sales read
1055over 97 days
Last check
11.4% away14-day call
$5.00$10$20$50Aug 15Sep 14Oct 14Nov 12Today181619sold$7.02

Each bubble groups sales that sold close together in time and price, sized by how many; hover one for its sales. Solid counts toward fair value, hollow was left out. The line is fair value over time, from sales only, ending at today's. The strip underneath counts sales. Past today, the dashed line is the forecast: where fair value is heading from what sold and how fast it's selling. The shaded fan is how far fair value may move, 4 times in 5; it widens the further out it looks. The forecast never changes fair value. Price axis is logarithmic.

All printings of Bilbo, Thief in the Night 3

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