Forecast

Smaug, Wicked Worm

The Hobbit · 164 · R

Smaug×1.2 · #115
Smaug, Wicked Worm, Normal
TCGplayer

Your copies

Checking your collections…

Fair value · Normal · Near Mint

$1.25AStrong

likely $1.01 – $1.53

−87%

past 90 days

Liquidity
Very liquidsells about 5 a day · last today
Sold, 30 days
48
Lowest listing
$1.00
Market Price
$1.31

Outlook · 90d

Storm watch

Fair value is dropping hard over the last few weeks.

Storm watchSteadyHeating up
7d
−29%
30d
−41%
90d
−87%

Change to today's $1.25
From sales only · 48 sold, 30d

Pull odds

Open a pack
  • NormalWildcard of any rarity: R · The Hobbit - Play Booster Pack1 in 53 packs1.89%
  • FoilR · The Hobbit - Collector Booster Pack1 in 31 packs3.28%
  • FoilTraditional foil card: R · The Hobbit - Play Booster Pack1 in 746 packs0.13%

Every Normal sale we've read, grouped by when and for how much they sold, with the fair value line through them. Hover a bubble for its sales; the legend adds the other conditions.

Forecast
Fair value · NM
$1.25
Change · 90d
−81%
Sales counted
48~1/day
Most NM sold for
$1.14 – $2.11

Forecast · NM · 30 days

$1.20−4.0%

fair value $0.96 – $1.50sales likely $0.88 – $1.64

Heading down34% odds higher
Buying pace
~9/dayselling slower
Sales read
3016over 92 days
Last check
16.5% away14-day call
$0.50$1.00$2.00$5.00$10Aug 17Sep 16Oct 16Nov 15Today24sold$1.20

Each bubble groups sales that sold close together in time and price, sized by how many; hover one for its sales. Solid counts toward fair value, hollow was left out. The line is fair value over time, from sales only, ending at today's. The strip underneath counts sales. Past today, the dashed line is the forecast: where fair value is heading from what sold and how fast it's selling. The shaded fan is how far fair value may move, 4 times in 5; it widens the further out it looks. The forecast never changes fair value. Price axis is logarithmic.

All printings of Smaug, Wicked Worm 3

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